2021-2027 Global and Regional LED Lighting Controllers Industry Status and Prospects Professional Market Research Report Standard Version

The global LED Lighting Controllers market was valued at 4401.14 Million USD in 2020 and will grow with a CAGR of 10.21% from 2020 to 2027, based on HNY Research newly published report. The prime objective of this report is to provide the insights on the post COVID-19 impact which will help market p...

7/29/2021 | LED Lighting Controllers

LEDs Used in Test/Measurement, Medical & Other Science Devices Market Forecast and Analysis 2019-2029

10-Year Market Forecast This market forecast report, which is available immediately, is part of a consultant service from ElectroniCast Consultants to our clients. This 2019-2029 market estimate and forecast is presented for our extensive study of the worldwide use of packaged Light Emitting Dio...

4/8/2020 | LED Lighting

LEDs Used in Night Vision Imaging Systems Compatible Lighting (NVIS) U.S.A. Military – Market Forecast 2019-2026

This is the ElectroniCast forecast of global market consumption of packaged light emitting diodes (LEDs), used in Night Vision Imaging System (NVIS) compatible lighting, by the US Military – worldwide. A night vision device (NVD) comprises of an Infrared (IR) image intensifier tube in a rigid casi...

3/9/2020 | LED Lighting

Explosion Proof LED Lighting Global Market Forecast 2019-2029

This is the ElectroniCast analysis and forecast of global market consumption of LED-based luminaires (light fixture with lamp/light source) used in explosion-proof lighting. This market forecast of the American, European/Middle Eastern and African (EMEA), and Asia Pacific (APAC) regional consumpt...

2021-12-09 | LED Lighting

Film and Video Professional Production LED Lighting Global Market Forecast & Analysis 2018-2028

10-Year Market Forecast This is the ElectroniCast global review and forecast of the use of light emitting diode (LED) professional production lighting in television/broadcast, motion pictures and videography. Regions The market data are segmented into the following geographic regions, plus a ...

2021-12-09 | LED Lighting

LEDs Used in Test/Measurement, Medical & Other Science Devices Market Forecast 2018-2028

"10-Year Market Forecast This market forecast report, which is available immediately, is part of a consultant service from ElectroniCast Consultants to our clients. This 2019-2029 market estimate and forecast is presented for our extensive study of the worldwide use of packaged Light Emitting D...

2021-12-09 | LED Lighting

LED Flashlight USA Market Forecast and Analysis

10-Year Market Forecast This market forecast report, which is available immediately, is part of a consultant service from ElectroniCast Consultants to our clients. This 2018-2028 market estimate and forecast is presented for our extensive study of the worldwide use of LED-based flashlights, w...

2021-02-10 | LED Lighting

Human Centric Lighting Global Market Forecast 2018-2028

Lighting, is the next development stage in the evolution of lighting and luminaire design; this report provides estimates and forecasts, based on market research study work performed by ElectroniCast Consultants. Human Centric Lighting (HCL) is aimed to mimic (closely imitate) the natural color ...

2021-02-10 | LED Lighting

The global LED Lighting Controllers market was valued at 4401.14 Million USD in 2020 and will grow with a CAGR of 10.21% from 2020 to 2027, based on HNY Research newly published report. The prime objective of this report is to provide the insights on the post COVID-19 impact which will help market players in this field evaluate their business approaches. Also, this report covers market segmentation by major market verdors, types, applications/end users and geography(North America, East Asia, Europe, South Asia, Southeast Asia, Middle East, Africa, Oceania, South America). Light control is the ability to regulate the level and quality of light in a given space for specific tasks or situations. Controlling light properly not only enhances the experience, it helps to save energy by using light when and where it is needed most. LED lighting controllers communicate between several system outputs and inputs related to lighting control and other computing devices. Lighting control systems are used in indoor and outdoor lighting to provide the required amount of light or to maximize energy savings. The industry is expected to remain innovation-led, with frequent acquisitions and strategic alliances adopted as the key strategies by the players to increase their industry presence. Meanwhile, optimize product mix and further develop value-added capabilities to maximize margins. By Market Verdors: Company A Company B … By Types: Wired LED Lighting Controller Wireless LED Lighting Controller By Applications: Residential Commercial Manufacture and Industry Public Spaces Key Indicators Analysed Market Players & Competitor Analysis: The report covers the key players of the industry including Company Profile, Product Specifications, Production Capacity/Sales, Revenue, Price and Gross Margin 2016-2027 & Sales with a thorough analysis of the market’s competitive landscape and detailed information on vendors and comprehensive details of factors that will challenge the growth of major market vendors. Global and Regional Market Analysis: The report includes Global & Regional market status and outlook 2016-2027. Further the report provides break down details about each region & countries covered in the report. Identifying its sales, sales volume & revenue forecast. With detailed analysis by types and applications. Market Trends: Market key trends which include Increased Competition and Continuous Innovations. Opportunities and Drivers: Identifying the Growing Demands and New Technology Porters Five Force Analysis: The report provides with the state of competition in industry depending on five basic forces: threat of new entrants, bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitute products or services, and existing industry rivalry. Key Reasons to Purchase To gain insightful analyses of the market and have comprehensive understanding of the global market and its commercial landscape. Assess the production processes, major issues, and solutions to mitigate the development risk. To understand the most affecting driving and restraining forces in the market and its impact in the global market. Learn about the market strategies that are being adopted by leading respective organizations. To understand the future outlook and prospects for the market. Besides the standard structure reports, we also provide custom research according to specific requirements. ...

7/29/2021

10-Year Market Forecast This market forecast report, which is available immediately, is part of a consultant service from ElectroniCast Consultants to our clients. This 2019-2029 market estimate and forecast is presented for our extensive study of the worldwide use of packaged Light Emitting Diodes (LEDs) in Test/ Measurement, Medical and other Science Devices. The market data are segmented into the following geographic regions, plus a Global summary: • North, Central and South America (America) • Europe, plus Middle Eastern and African countries (EMEA) • Asia Pacific (APAC) The LED market is segmented into the following sub-application categories: • Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring • Photo-therapy/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing • Instrumentation Light Source and Imaging The market data for are also segmented by the following colors (type): • Red • Green • Blue • White • Multiple Color/Multiple Chip • UV and Other LED Level Quantified in the ElectroniCast Study Below, are four levels (or “food chain”) of LEDs. For the purposes of this ElectroniCast study, we quantify and provide a market forecast for “Level 2” Level 1 - The chip or die Level 2 - The Packaged LED Chip(s) Level 3 – LED module / LED Lamp Level 4 - LED luminaire (light fixture/light fitting with LED module/lamp) This report provides the market data by the following functions: • Consumption Value (US$, million) • Quantity (number/units) • Average Selling Prices (ASP $, each) The value is determined by multiplying the number of units by the average selling price (ASP). The ASPs are based on the price of the packaged LED at the initial factory level. The value is then based on the end-use application and the end-use region. Microsoft Excel- Data Base Structure At each database level, the ElectroniCast estimates and forecast for packaged LEDs is built from the bottom up, segmented by color–type, arranged in a hierarchy, of the end-user types (applications) that use devices that the LEDs are used in, and arranged in a hierarchy and summed upward. The estimates and forecast for each LED color-type in each region is in terms of quantity (unit/each), value (US$ Million) and average selling price. SAMPLE Excel Data Table (2019-2029) ElectroniCast Market Forecast SAMPLE Excel Worksheet (2019-2029) ElectroniCast Market Forecast Information Base for the Market Forecast Primary Research This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually over the past several years, but updated through early April 2020. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and selected representative individuals in the following sectors relative to the use of LEDs: medical, science, bio-photonic, display industry, test/measurement, instrumentation, R&D, university, military defense/space and government. The interviews were conducted principally with: • Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of LED test/measurement & medical science equipment/devices and related equipment, as well as other technologies • Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of LEDs and test/measurement & medical and other science equipment/devices • Other industry experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, and investments. The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics. Analysis The analyst then considered customer expectations of near term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations in each geographical region, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application. Secondary Research A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through our interviews. The following sources were reviewed: • Professional technical journals, papers and conference proceedings • Trade press articles • Company profile and financial information; Product literature • Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast market studies • Personal knowledge of the research team In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of geographical regional markets, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified. Bottom-up Methodology ElectroniCast forecasts, as illustrated in the forecast data structure, are developed initially at the lowest detail level, then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (last year = 2019), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends applicable products/applications and equipment usage and economic payback. Cross-Correlation Increases Accuracy The quantities of packaged LEDs, LED Driver ICs, LED materials/wafer/die/chips, LED Lamps and LED fixtures (luminaries) and other LED-based components, manufacturing processes/quality control/yields, and end-use products used in a particular application are interrelated. Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates in each LED component field, accurate current quantity estimates are part of the corporate database. These quantities are cross-correlated as a "sanity check". ElectroniCast, each year since 2002, has conducted extensive research and updated their forecasts of several LED lighting categories. As technology and applications have advanced, the number of component subsets covered by the forecasts has expanded impressively. The calculation and analysis data spreadsheet technique is based upon input/output analysis, leveraging the quantitative consumption quantity, price and value of each item in each application at all levels to achieve reasonable quantitative conclusions; this interactive analysis concept, first applied on a major scale by Leonteff, of the US Department of Commerce, in the mid 1950s, was then adopted successfully by analyst/forecasting firms Quantum Science, Gnostic Concepts and (in 1981) by ElectroniCast ...

4/8/2020

This is the ElectroniCast forecast of global market consumption of packaged light emitting diodes (LEDs), used in Night Vision Imaging System (NVIS) compatible lighting, by the US Military – worldwide. A night vision device (NVD) comprises of an Infrared (IR) image intensifier tube in a rigid casing, commonly used by US military forces. Infrared light is electromagnetic radiation with a wavelength between 0.7 and 300 micrometers, which equates to a frequency range between approximately 1 and 430 terahertz (THz). Night vision goggles (NVG) combined with magnification lenses constitutes night vision binoculars. Other types include monocular night vision devices with only one eyepiece, which may be mounted to firearms as night sights. NVG and enhanced vision systems (EVS) technologies are becoming standard operating products for US military operations to improve safety. Light emitting diodes used in Night Vision Imaging Systems must provide an environment that will not have near infrared (NIR) noise, which would interfere with the nighttime sensitivity of the NVGs. It is important to note that night vision compatibility (NVC) is only achieved when the design of the lighting equipment allows for proper use with and without the NVIS, at night or during the day. In this study report, we provide detailed 2019-2026 estimates and market forecasts for packaged LEDs that have night vision compatibility in relationship to night vision imaging systems (NVIS) – used by the US Military NVIS are passive systems, which have a very high sensitivity to radiation in the approximate region of 600nm to 930nm (orange to near infrared). The NVIS work by converting photons from the outside night scene onto a micro-displayed visible image. The NVIS will amplify the nighttime scene approximately 2000 times. To protect the image intensifier assembly, the systems are equipped with an automatic gain control (AGC), which will aperture down the NVIS when exposed to bright lights in the region of approximately 600nm to 930nm. If displays or light sources are not NVIS compatible, the automatic gain control will activate and the NVIS will become proportionally less sensitive to nighttime objects outside of the cockpit. The Department of Defense (United States) published the MIL-STD-3009 Standard for lighting, aircraft, night vision imaging system compatibility, which specifies the interface and performance requirements for aircraft lighting and display equipment that is intended to be used along with NVIS. This specification defines aircraft interior lighting standards for sources such as cockpit displays and caution / warning lights, for both day and nighttime operating conditions. NVIS filters designed for avionic applications must incorporate NIR attenuation properties, chromaticity, contrast for daylight readability and often EMI/RFI shielding. The MIL-STD-3009 superseded MIL-L-85762A standard. This standard also includes provisions for white light sources and for “leaky green” requirements. The light emitting diodes in a display heavily influence its color, contrast, and NVIS radiance (NR) properties. White, green, and red-light emitting diodes with certain spectral emission can be adjusted with filters to produce displays that comply with various NVIS color coordinates and NVIS Radiance (NR) specifications described in MIL-STD-3009. Meeting both color and Night Vision Imaging System (NVIS) Radiance limits can be challenging. Each application is unique and always involves certain constraints, such as space limitations or production methods, that may require a specific approach in order meet compliance. Market Forecast and Analysis by Application The Night Vision Imaging System LED market is segmented into the following application categories: • United States of America - Military o Aircraft  Cockpit / Display Panel / Instrument Lighting  Other Interior Night Vision Compatible (NVC) Lighting  Exterior Aircraft NVC Lighting o Ships/Watercraft  Bridge Display Panel / Instrument Lighting  Other Interior Night Vision Compatible (NVC) Lighting  Exterior NVC Lighting o Ground Vehicle  Display Panel / Instrument Lighting  Other Interior Night Vision Compatible (NVC) Lighting  Exterior NVC Lighting o Ground Field Command / Man-Portable Devices / Other  Display Panel / Instrument Lighting  Other Interior Night Vision Compatible (NVC) Lighting  Exterior NVC Lighting LED Level Quantified in the ElectroniCast Study A Light Emitting Diode (LED) is a solid-state semiconductor device that converts electrical energy directly into light. On its most basic level, the semiconductor is comprised of two regions. The p-region contains positive electrical charges while the n-region contains negative electrical charges. When voltage is applied and current begins to flow, the electrons move across the n region into the p region. The process of an electron moving through the p-n junction releases energy. The dispersion of this energy produces photons with visible wavelengths. Below, are four levels (or “food chain”) of LEDs. For the purposes of THIS ElectroniCast study, we quantify and provide a market forecast for “Level 2” Level 1 - The chip or die Level 2 – Packaged LED - single or multiple-die packaged LED Level 3 - LED array; may include optics, heat sink and/or power supply Level 4 - LED luminaire Quantitative Analysis LEDs face the challenge of creating definitive positions in the NVIS illumination market, as competing lighting solutions (technologies) are readily available and accepted. While this does not limit the potential success of LEDs, it does create some challenges. This report provides an independent examination and analysis of the changing market dynamics for LEDs used in selected end-use applications. The LED market forecast data are segmented by the following functions: • Consumption Value (US$, million) • Quantity (number/units) • Average Selling Prices (ASP $, each) Ship/Watercraft Leads in Consumption The use of LEDs in Night Vision Imaging System compatible lighting will continue to be dominated by the Military market sector. The market forecast, by ElectroniCast Consultants, provides second-level (or sub-level) applications under the US Military application sectors. The next-level of detailed is provided in the report text, as well as in the Microsoft Excel database worksheet found in the addendum of the study report. During the forecast period, as the luminous efficacy techniques improve (Lumens per Watt: lm/W), the LED is being considered for more than (just) indicator lighting. The conversion of interior lights in aircraft cockpits and cabins to meet MIL-Spec (specifications) and standards can involve the following conversion techniques, based on cost effectiveness and operational requirement: • Replacement of instrument panel glass with filter material • Installation of filter material to warning, caution and annunciator indicators • Replacement of existing lamps with LED based modular lamps • Installation of NVIS compatible bridge and bezel lighting • NVG compatible floodlights These same techniques are also used for the conversion of vehicle driving instruments, ships’ bridge, navigational and control lighting and communication equipment. Exterior lighting for ships, aircraft and vehicles can be made Night Vision Goggles (NVG) friendly or dual mode Convert/NVG friendly through: • Replacement of bulbs with form and fit compatible LEDs • Installation of solid state LED based navigation and anti-collision lights • Fitting filters to existing light fittings • Addition of Infra Red LEDs for covert navigation and formation lights only visible through NVIS This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually over the past nine years, but updated through early March 2020. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the LED manufacturing (materials, chips, packaging, devices, associated parts/pieces, fittings/fixtures, NVIS filters) and military/aerospace, communication, vehicles, R&D, and government regulating authorities. The interviews were conducted principally with:  Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of LEDs as well as other technologies.  Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of LEDs used in Night Vision Compatible Lighting applications.  Other industry/sector experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, and investments. The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics. In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of the US Military use of light emitting diode products, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified. Bottom-up Methodology ElectroniCast forecasts, as illustrated in the forecast data structure, are developed initially at the lowest detail level, then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (2019), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward equipment usage and economic payback. ...

3/9/2020

This is the ElectroniCast analysis and forecast of global market consumption of LED-based luminaires (light fixture with lamp/light source) used in explosion-proof lighting. This market forecast of the American, European/Middle Eastern and African (EMEA), and Asia Pacific (APAC) regional consumption is presented for selected LED-based lamps in selected applications, which require explosion-proof lighting solutions. For the purposes of this study, ElectroniCast defines explosion-proof lighting luminaires, which are certified in accordance with and compliant to International regulative and safety standard bodies for use in areas where flammable petrochemical vapors and/or pulverized dust exist or have the potential to exist. The information is presented in easy-to-follow illustrations and text. The LED explosion-proof lighting market environment is discussed. LED lighting technology overviews, trends and analysis are presented. List and website addresses of over 70-competitors in the Explosion-Proof LED Luminaire marketplace. Working environments that contain explosive gases or dust are extremely volatile environments. All it takes is a single spark to cause an explosion. A variety of lights are available that are considered explosion proof lighting because they prevent any possible ignition sources from being exposed to the air. Lights are a common cause of explosion ignition. Low energy light fittings can help to prevent explosions because they do not produce enough energy to ignite source materials. This intrinsically safe equipment, though, can sometimes provide low quality lighting. In the process of this market research project, in addition to interviewing existing customers and potential customers of LED-based explosion-proof lighting, ElectroniCast Consultants also studied lighting manufactures with various ranges of hazardous area lighting products, which are suited to use in high-risk areas. The lighting fixtures are designed for situations where explosive gases and dusts are found, providing suitable lighting without enabling a risk of explosion. The light emitting diode (LED) market, despite exciting innovative devices driven by technological advances and ecological/energy-saving concerns, still face challenges in overcoming performance/price limitations and in attracting widespread consumption. This report, by ElectroniCast Consultants, provides the research findings of our study of the global consumption of Light Emitting Diode Fixtures and Lamps, which are Explosion-Proof Lighting applications. LED Level Quantified in the ElectroniCast Study Below, are five levels (or “food chain”) pertaining to the LED marketplace. For the purposes of this ElectroniCast study, we quantify and provide a market forecast for Level 5. - Level 1 - The bare chip or die - Level 2 - The packaged LED chip - Level 3 – LED array, optics, boards (PCB), heat sink, driver, other components - Level 4 – Lamp/Light source Level 5 – Luminaires (light fixture, initial lamp/light source, inclusive fittings/brackets) The following regions are quantified in this study report: • America (North, Central and South America) • EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa) • APAC (Asia Pacific) 10-Year Market Forecast This report provides the market review and forecast (2019-2029) by the following functions: • Consumption Value (US$) • Quantity (number/units) – (Million) • Average Selling Prices ($, each) During the market research process, ElectroniCast analysts perform interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the LED and lighting industry, plus – R&D and industrial/factory/manufacturing, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of explosion-proof and other harsh environment LED lighting products. Market Forecast Product Categories This market forecast of the worldwide consumption is presented for four (4) major luminaire-type categories, as shown below: • Spot, Flood and General-Area • Linear: Tube and String/Strip • Small portable-type: Flash lights, wearable headlamp • Specialty, Panel and Miscellaneous Market Forecast Sub-Application Categories This market forecast of the worldwide consumption for LED Luminaires used in explosive-proof lighting is presented for four (4) major end-user group (sub-application) categories, as shown below: • Power Plants, Pumping Stations, Substations • Military Bases, Airports, Other Transportation Facilities • Gas (service) Stations, Paint-Spray Booths, Other Commercial/Industrial, Other/Non-Specific • Oil Fields, Oil Refineries, Offshore Oil Platforms, Oil Tanks, Tunnels, Wharf, Mining and Other Similar Market Dynamics The study process by ElectroniCast Consultants takes into account the following points: • Standards (including general regulations & standards, environmental issues, etc.) • Policies and schemes for promoting the penetration of LED lighting • Industry trends in LED lighting fixtures • Distribution/Sales Channel • Competitive environment is considered / Intellectual property and patents Since the light output of individual light-emitting diodes (LEDs) is small compared to incandescent and compact fluorescent lamps, multiple diodes are often used together. With continuing improvement of diode technology and packaging technology (for example: Remote Phosphor), high power LEDs with higher lumen output is enabling the replacement of other lamp technology with LED lamps. Luminaires are lighting fixtures complete with the light source or lamp, the reflector for directing the light, an aperture (with or without a lens), the outer shell or housing for lamp alignment and protection, an electrical ballast (if required), and connection to a power source, and usually a socket to hold the lamp and allow for its replacement. Explosion-proof LED lighting solutions are designed to be extremely resistant to dust, humidity, chemicals, mechanical forces and extreme environmental temperatures. Explosion-proof LED lighting solutions offer improved vision and safety in industrial areas where the danger of explosion is higher due to the nature of the activity. Explosion-proof products are used on a large scale in mines, oil fields and also in various industrial and commercial, military, and other applications where highly inflammable and explosive substances are present. The risk of explosion in some work environments requires the need to use specific solutions. Specially designed explosion proof LED lighting provides is often underestimated. Mixtures of gas, air or dust can actually cause life-threatening explosions and cause extensive harm to your employees and the plant. The incorrect assumption is often made that the danger of explosion is more or less exclusive to the chemical industry. Dust from timber, animal feed, food-stuffs or plastics can also cause an explosion. Unsafe lighting is one of the most common potential sources of ignition. Sample list of typical applications: • Petroleum refineries and gasoline storage areas • Aircraft hangars and fuel servicing areas • Grain elevators, flour and feed mills • Producers of chemicals, plastics, medicines and fireworks • Coal preparation plants • Textile mills, cotton gins; Saw mills and lumber yards • Motion picture sets • Many Others Market Research Methodology Market analysis and technology forecasting are complex tasks. Any predictions of the shape and trends of technology and economic movement start from the notion that the germ of what will be important tomorrow is present, although smaller or larger or in a different form, in our environment today. However, taking as a basis for a prediction the assumptions of current, conventional belief creates a set of preconceived notions that can lead to serious mistakes. ElectroniCast, instead, looks to the basic driving forces. Information Base This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually over the past several years, but updated through the beginning of November 2019. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the LED manufacturing (materials, integrated circuits/circuit boards, packaging, devices, connectors/pins/end-caps, plastic, aluminum and glass manufacturers, associated parts/pieces, fittings/fixtures) and military/aerospace, harsh environment concerns, painting (paint spray booths), oil/gas and mining, power generation/nuclear, industrial/manufacturing, mass transit authorities, transportation/ infrastructure, R&D, gas stations/service stations (lighting distributors), government, and other. The interviews were conducted principally with: • Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of LEDs (chips, components, lamps and fixtures) as well as other technologies • Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of LEDs • Other industry experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, and investments The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics. Customers and distributors were interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products were obtained. The analyst then considered customer expectations of near-term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations and funding/tax-break legislation/rules in each geographical region, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application. A full review of published information (secondary research) was also performed to supplement information obtained through primary research (interviews). The following sources were reviewed: • Professional technical journals and papers • Trade press articles • Technical conference proceedings • Product literature • Company profile and financial information • Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast market studies • Personal knowledge of the research team In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of worldwide markets for light emitting diode products, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast consultants who participated in this report were qualified. Bottom-up Methodology ElectroniCast forecasts, as illustrated in the forecast data structure, are developed initially at the lowest detail level, then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (this year: 2019), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward equipment usage and economic payback. ...

2021-12-09

10-Year Market Forecast This is the ElectroniCast global review and forecast of the use of light emitting diode (LED) professional production lighting in television/broadcast, motion pictures and videography. Regions The market data are segmented into the following geographic regions, plus a Global summary; separate data-sheets are provided for the U.S.A. and Rest of the American region: • America o United States of America o Rest of America • EMEA (Europe, Middle East, plus Africa) • APAC (Asia Pacific) Applications The market data are segmented into the following professional production end-user groups (applications): • Broadcast/Television • Motion Pictures (Cinematography) • Videography The market forecast data are presented for the LED light fixture, segmented by the following functions: • Consumption Value (US$, million) • Quantity (number/units) • Average Selling Prices (ASP $, each) Market Forecast, By Light Shape and Size This report provides an independent examination and analysis of the changing market dynamics for the major types of LED-based lighting fixtures, segmented by shape/size: • Small LED Light o Square or Rectangle (less than 12 x 12-inch) o Circular/Ring/Fresnel (less than 12-inch Outer Diameter) • Large LED Light o Square or Rectangle (12 x 12-inch and Larger) o Circular/Ring/Fresnel (12-inch Outer Diameter and Larger) Below, are five levels (or “food chain”) pertaining to the LED marketplace. For the purposes of THIS ElectroniCast study, we quantify and provide a market forecast for Level 5. Level 1 - The chip or die Level 2 - The LED component (component-level bulb) Level 3 - LED array; may include optics, heat sink and/or power supply Level 4 - Lamp Level 5 – Light Fixture (complete with Lamps) According to the market forecast report, the global consumption of LED professional lighting lamps/fixtures reached $256.5 million in 2018. During the forecast period, the value of the LED fixtures with lamps is expected to increase to $507 million in the year 2028. Market forecast data in the study report refers to consumption (use) for a particular calendar year; therefore, this data is not cumulative data. The worldwide value of LED-based production lighting in the Television/Broadcast segment reached $152 million in 2018, compared to nearly $72.2 million in the Motion Picture (film) category and the remainder in the Videography industry segment. The TV/Broadcast industry sector is continuously challenged with expenditure reduction, due mainly to the decline in advertisement revenue; however, paid subscription-based TV, supplements the television sector in terms of upgrades in lighting. High performance TV/Broadcast cameras require professional-grade lighting to achieve the highest expectations for Slow Motion and High Definition (HD) TV standard-based production; therefore, along with the goal of energy-efficiency, LED-based lighting is proving to be the next-generation winning technology-choice for use in sport arenas and stadiums. TV/Broadcast stations worldwide continue to retrofit their studios with LED-based production lights, to improve the picture quality with the new HDTV-based requirements. Also, other benefits of LED lighting versus the incumbent lighting is the consumption of less electrical power, since LEDs use less energy and also less air conditioning is required since heat generated by LED lights is negligible. LED production lights in the motion picture/film category is driven by requirements for lighting effects and set lighting, mainly because of its flexibility. A single light source can generate a great variety of colors. Additionally, continuous cost/performance improvements driven by technological advancements are driving the LED lighting fixture market from a niche-only solution to a general use solution. About ElectroniCast ElectroniCast, founded in 1981, specializes in forecasting technology and global market trends in fiber optics communication components and devices, as well providing market data on light emitting diodes used in lighting. As an independent consultancy we offer multi-client and custom market research studies to the world's leading companies based on comprehensive, in- depth analysis of quantitative and qualitative factors. This includes technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning, competitive analysis, customer-satisfaction surveys and marketing/sales consultation. ElectroniCast, founded as a technology-based independent consulting firm, meets the information needs of the investment community, industry planners and related suppliers. Market Research Methodology Market analysis and technology forecasting are complex tasks. Any predictions of the shape and trends of technology and economic movement start from the notion that the germ of what will be important tomorrow is present, although smaller or larger or in a different form, in our environment today. However, taking as a basis for a prediction the assumptions of current, conventional belief creates a set of preconceived notions that can lead to serious mistakes. ElectroniCast, instead, looks to the basic driving forces. Information Base This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually over the past several years, but updated through the middle of April 2019. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the LED and LED lighting/fixture manufacturing (materials, integrated circuits/circuit boards, packaging, devices, connectors/pins/end-caps, plastic, aluminum and glass manufacturers, associated parts/pieces, fittings/fixtures) and advertisement, photography, broadcast and motion picture industry sectors, marketing communications, R&D, government, and other. The interviews were conducted principally with: • Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of LEDs (chips, components, lamps and fixtures) as well as other technologies, especially tungsten, fluorescent, HMI, and Xenon • Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of LEDs • Other industry experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, and investments The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics. Customers and distributors were interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products were obtained. The analyst then considered customer expectations of near-term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations and funding/tax-break legislation/rules in each geographical region, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application. A full review of published information (secondary research) was also performed to supplement information obtained through primary research (interviews). The following sources were reviewed: • Professional technical journals and papers • Trade press articles; Product literature • Technical conference proceedings • Company profile and financial information • Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast market studies • Personal knowledge of the research team In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of worldwide markets for light emitting diode products, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast consultants who participated in this report were qualified. Bottom-up Methodology ElectroniCast market forecasts data are developed initially at the lowest detail level, and then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product projected-use in each application in the base year (last year - 2018), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward equipment usage and economic payback. ...

2021-12-09

"10-Year Market Forecast This market forecast report, which is available immediately, is part of a consultant service from ElectroniCast Consultants to our clients. This 2019-2029 market estimate and forecast is presented for our extensive study of the worldwide use of packaged Light Emitting Diodes (LEDs) in Test/ Measurement, Medical and other Science Devices. The market data are segmented into the following geographic regions, plus a Global summary: • North, Central and South America (America) • Europe, plus Middle Eastern and African countries (EMEA) • Asia Pacific (APAC) The LED market is segmented into the following sub-application categories: • Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring • Photo-therapy/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing • Instrumentation Light Source and Imaging The market data for are also segmented by the following colors (type): • Red • Green • Blue • White • Multiple Color/Multiple Chip • UV and Other LED Level Quantified in the ElectroniCast Study Below, are four levels (or “food chain”) of LEDs. For the purposes of this ElectroniCast study, we quantify and provide a market forecast for “Level 2” Level 1 - The chip or die Level 2 - The Packaged LED Chip(s) Level 3 – LED module / LED Lamp Level 4 - LED luminaire (light fixture/light fitting with LED module/lamp) This report provides the market data by the following functions: • Consumption Value (US$, million) • Quantity (number/units) • Average Selling Prices (ASP $, each) The value is determined by multiplying the number of units by the average selling price (ASP). The ASPs are based on the price of the packaged LED at the initial factory level. The value is then based on the end-use application and the end-use region. Microsoft Excel- Data Base Structure At each database level, the ElectroniCast estimates and forecast for packaged LEDs is built from the bottom up, segmented by color–type, arranged in a hierarchy, of the end-user types (applications) that use devices that the LEDs are used in, and arranged in a hierarchy and summed upward. The estimates and forecast for each LED color-type in each region is in terms of quantity (unit/each), value (US$ Million) and average selling price. SAMPLE Excel Data Table (2019-2029) ElectroniCast Market Forecast SAMPLE Excel Worksheet (2019-2029) ElectroniCast Market Forecast Information Base for the Market Forecast Primary Research This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually over the past several years, but updated through early April 2020. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and selected representative individuals in the following sectors relative to the use of LEDs: medical, science, bio-photonic, display industry, test/measurement, instrumentation, R&D, university, military defense/space and government. The interviews were conducted principally with: • Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of LED test/measurement & medical science equipment/devices and related equipment, as well as other technologies • Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of LEDs and test/measurement & medical and other science equipment/devices • Other industry experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, and investments. The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics. Analysis The analyst then considered customer expectations of near term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations in each geographical region, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application. Secondary Research A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through our interviews. The following sources were reviewed: • Professional technical journals, papers and conference proceedings • Trade press articles • Company profile and financial information; Product literature • Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast market studies • Personal knowledge of the research team In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of geographical regional markets, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified. Bottom-up Methodology ElectroniCast forecasts, as illustrated in the forecast data structure, are developed initially at the lowest detail level, then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (last year = 2019), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends applicable products/applications and equipment usage and economic payback. Cross-Correlation Increases Accuracy The quantities of packaged LEDs, LED Driver ICs, LED materials/wafer/die/chips, LED Lamps and LED fixtures (luminaries) and other LED-based components, manufacturing processes/quality control/yields, and end-use products used in a particular application are interrelated. Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates in each LED component field, accurate current quantity estimates are part of the corporate database. These quantities are cross-correlated as a ""sanity check"". ElectroniCast, each year since 2002, has conducted extensive research and updated their forecasts of several LED lighting categories. As technology and applications have advanced, the number of component subsets covered by the forecasts has expanded impressively. The calculation and analysis data spreadsheet technique is based upon input/output analysis, leveraging the quantitative consumption quantity, price and value of each item in each application at all levels to achieve reasonable quantitative conclusions; this interactive analysis concept, first applied on a major scale by Leonteff, of the US Department of Commerce, in the mid 1950s, was then adopted successfully by analyst/forecasting firms Quantum Science, Gnostic Concepts and (in 1981) by ElectroniCast " ...

2021-12-09

10-Year Market Forecast This market forecast report, which is available immediately, is part of a consultant service from ElectroniCast Consultants to our clients. This 2018-2028 market estimate and forecast is presented for our extensive study of the worldwide use of LED-based flashlights, which are used in the United States of America. The market data is segmented by rechargeable- versus standard-types. Several end-user application groups are covered in market forecast; finally, the forecast for the major sales channels are presented in easy-to-follow illustrations and text. Company profiles of nearly 70 LED flashlight manufacturer/brands are presented, as well as market share estimates for selected market leaders for last year (2018) in the U.S.A. marketplace. ElectroniCast research findings, which are pertinent to Intellectual Property (IP), US Patents and related issues, are also provided. Market Forecast by Product Categories The forecast is based on the following LED flashlight product category types: • Rechargeable • Standard Market Forecast by Application Categories Market forecast of each product-type by the following end-user type (application) categories: • Commercial/Industrial/Other (all non-government work applications) • Government-Sector (all levels of government: local, state and federal) o Military/Law Enforcement/First Responders o Other: Government-Sector • Consumer/Non-Specific Market Forecast by Sales Channels The market forecast of each product-type and end-user type (application), are also segmented by the following sales channels: • Specialty Retail (e-Commerce/Internet and In-Store) • General Retail (e-Commerce/Internet and In-Store) • Direct from Manufacturer/Brand (Internet and Direct Sales/Other) Market Forecast, By Function This report provides our estimates for 2018 consumptions, as well as our 10-year market forecast for flashlights by the following functions: • Consumption Value • Quantity (number/units) • Average Selling Prices (ASP) Flashlights Covered in this Study All LED-based flashlights are included in this study, unless mentioned otherwise. LED flashlights, which are used as a work or task light; however, only the flashlight unit (itself) is counted, not any value-added components. A flashlight-based work/task light (not necessarily professional work) is a flashlight with valued-added accessories added permanently or detachable, which are designed to accommodate the specific needs of a related task, as discussed in some examples below: • Hooks or clamps or straps or casing-design are added to the flashlight for the specific reason for hand-free operation; case design examples include: swivel lamp-heads; self-standing design, beam adjustments, others – the following are a few application examples: o Auto mechanics, surgeons or miners using headlamps; Recreational/Sport hikers/campers using headlamps o Military and police using flashlights attached to the weapon/gun; Recreational/Sport/Protection use of flashlights attached to a gun o Police, security, delivery use of flashlights attached to a bicycle; Recreational/Sport use of flashlights attached to a bicycle (only if the light is easily removed from the holding bracket for double-use as a flashlight) • Specific features added, such as (examples): o Chemical/Other resistant casing o Harsh environment/Rugged/Underwater upgrade case and other components o Explosion-proof upgrade case and other components o Casing designed to accommodate work-related hand controls or grips Add-on or Built-on Accessories For flashlights that are equipped to wear on the head; for example in – sports, surgery/medical, in the mining industry and other hands-free use, the flashlight unit is included, plus internal recharging units and cord to an external battery module, and the external battery module (without batteries) are included in the pricing data; this is also true for flashlight brackets or clamps for guns, bicycles, other. Not Included: Items not included in the overall price of the products, in this study: • Aftermarket (sold separately) straps that are added to the flashlight unit • Aftermarket (sold separately) mounting brackets for weapon-flashlights • Storage/travel cases the flashlight • Flashlights in Androids and other mobile communication/camera devices • Novelty flashlights or toy-like novelty key-chain flashlights • Camera/Film production lights • Lanterns (also: combined lantern/flashlights are considered lanterns) Market Research Methodology Market analysis and technology forecasting are complex tasks. Any predictions of the shape and trends of technology and economic movement start from the notion that the germ of what will be important tomorrow is present, although smaller or larger or in a different form, in our environment today. However, taking as a basis for a prediction the assumptions of current, conventional belief creates a set of preconceived notions that can lead to serious mistakes. ElectroniCast, instead, looks to the basic driving forces. The future market for a particular type of flashlight consumed in general purpose (household), as well as commercial/industrial and harsh environment, military/ aerospace, emergency services and law enforcement applications depend on a number of factors, including: User equipment demand, back-up lighting due to power failures, various work-related tasks and recreational purposes, as well in conjunction with explosion and dangerous environments and various other circumstances. Information Base This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually over the past several years, but updated through the middle of March 2019. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with selected authoritative and representative individuals in the flashlight manufactures and brand distributors, as well as LED manufacturing (materials, chips, packaging, devices, and associated parts/pieces, and fittings/fixtures), other light sources and military/aerospace, law enforcement and other first responders, communication, automotive, medical services, R&D, and government regulating authorities, as well as power sources (batteries and capacitors). The interviews were conducted principally with: • Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of LEDs, other light source technologies, as well as flashlight material (plastic, metal, other) package design and reflective optics. • Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users and distributors of LEDs, other light sources, flashlights and power sources (batteries and capacitors). • Other industry/sector experts, including those focused on patents/intellectual property, standards activities, trade associations, and investments. The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics. A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources were reviewed:  Professional technical journals and papers; Trade press articles  Technical conference proceedings; Product literature  Company profile and financial information  Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast market studies; Personal knowledge of the research team. In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of the American market for flashlights, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified. Bottom-up Methodology ElectroniCast forecasts are developed initially at the lowest detail level, and then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (last year: 2018), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward equipment usage and economic payback. About ElectroniCast ElectroniCast, founded in 1981, specializes in forecasting technology and global market trends in fiber optics communication components and devices, as well providing market data on light emitting diodes used in lighting. As an independent consultancy we offer multi-client and custom market research studies to the world's leading companies based on comprehensive, in- depth analysis of quantitative and qualitative factors. This includes technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning, competitive analysis, customer-satisfaction surveys and marketing/sales consultation. ElectroniCast, founded as a technology-based independent consulting firm, meets the information needs of the investment community, industry planners and related suppliers. ...

2021-02-10

Lighting, is the next development stage in the evolution of lighting and luminaire design; this report provides estimates and forecasts, based on market research study work performed by ElectroniCast Consultants. Human Centric Lighting (HCL) is aimed to mimic (closely imitate) the natural color of daylight, which stimulates the production of melatonin and serotonin which control the physical, mental and behavioral changes that follow a roughly 24-hour cycle, responding primarily to light and darkness in a person, or their circadian rhythm. The module/device hardware covered in this study are used for stationary/fixed locations (non-vehicle or non-portable) solid-state general lighting applications. The market data are segmented into the following regions; separate data-sections are provided for the following regions: • Global o America  U.S.A.  Rest of America o Europe, Middle East, Africa (EMEA) o Asia Pacific (APAC) Market Forecast by HCL Product Hardware for Solid-State Lighting ElectroniCast provides this market forecast for product hardware that are initially and primarily used with Human Centric Lighting as the primary objective and initial consideration, as detailed in Table 1. Light Engines A light engine is the LED equivalent of a conventional lamp. It normally consists of a LED chip mounted on a circuit board that has electrical and mechanical fixings, meaning it is ready to be fixed in the luminaire. Note that the light engine may not consist of only one chip; it may be an array of several chips, sometimes with a phosphor coating. ElectroniCast includes the following in the Light Engine category: driver, array, and power supply; however, excludes external wiring harnesses. Light Engine Driver segmentation – DALI Driver Control Interface - Digital Addressable Lighting Interface (DALI) is a trademark for network-based systems that control lighting in building automation. The underlying technology was established by a consortium of lighting equipment manufacturers as a successor for 0-10 V lighting control systems, and as an open standard alternative to Digital Signal Interface (DSI), on which it is based. DALI is specified by technical standards. DMX Driver Control Interface - (Digital Multiplex) is a standard for digital communication networks. It was originally intended as a standardized method for controlling light dimmers, which, prior to DMX512, had employed various incompatible proprietary protocols. Other or Proprietary – Other control interface units, which are not DALI or DMX-based. Lighting Management Sensors - Typically, lighting control sensors features include motion detection, light- level detection and IR receive (remote controlling). Each of these features can be operated at the same time, allowing automation scenarios such as turning on the lights after detecting motion and then dimming the lighting level once the available sunlight has been measured, thereby providing additional energy savings. Color Control, Digital Dimming and Switches Control Units – These control capabilities are provided in separate stand-alone or combined units. Table 1 Human Centric Lighting Product Categories • Light Engine / Lamp – Module • Lighting Management - Modules / Devices (DALI / DMX / Other) o Control Units / Dimming / Switches o Standalone / Luminaire LED Driver Modules o Standalone Sensors / Other Note: Software is discussed in this report; however, software values are not counted in the market data Market Forecast, By Function This report provides the 2018-2028 market data review and forecast by the following functions: • Consumption Value (US$, million) • Quantity (number/units) • Average Selling Prices (ASP $, per unit) The consumption (use) value is determined by multiplying the number of lighting units by the average selling price (ASP) in US Dollars. The average selling prices are not retail prices; the prices are based on the price of the product at the initial factory level. These are the original manufacturer’s (“factory”) prices invoiced to the first (original) customer, or transfer prices for internal (captive) production. Market Forecast by Applications: • Offices • Hospitality and Healthcare • Shopping / Stores • Education / Others Competitive Analysis • Company profiles and product examples of selected competitors • Market Share Estimates of leaders in HCL ($ Million, Year 2018) Market Research Methodology Market analysis and technology forecasting are complex tasks. Any predictions of the shape and trends of technology and economic movement start from the notion that the germ of what will be important tomorrow is present, although smaller or larger or in a different form, in our environment today. However, taking as a basis for a prediction the assumptions of current, conventional belief creates a set of preconceived notions that can lead to serious mistakes. ElectroniCast, instead, looks to the basic driving forces. The future market for the use of a particular type of Human Centric Lighting solutions depends on a number of factors, including: User equipment demand, for example – applications: intelligent/smart buildings, retail store/shopping and hospitality, as well as schools/education and others to push market demand. Also, energy efficiency requirements and government regulations/laws/mandates/low carbon footprint, future-proofing (design and in technology), economy and investment community, product life cycles, competing technologies/solutions, cost/benefit ratios, requirements driven by Internet of Things (IoT), intelligent/digital building lighting controls, and others. Additionally, environment and awareness of health and alertness benefits in HCL, mood lighting, and other smart lighting solutions. Information Base This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually since 2002 through our research regarding LED lighting solutions, but updated through the middle of January 2019 – specifically addressing the solid-state lighting (SSL) Human Centric Lighting (HCL) market attractiveness. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performs interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the LED manufacturing (materials, chips, packaging, devices, associated parts/pieces, fittings/ fixtures - luminaires) and building/facility management, local/state and federal government policy and management, LED driver IC and micro-controllers, product distributors, building management, import/export, and other. The interviews were conducted principally with:  Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of LEDs (chips, packaged LEDs, lamps, fixtures/luminaires, controls, systems) as well as other technologies.  Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of Human Centric Lighting solutions.  Other industry experts, including those focused with standards activities, trade associations, and investments. The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics. Customers and distributors also were interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products were obtained. At ElectroniCast, analysts then considered customer expectations of near-term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application. A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources were reviewed:  Professional technical journals and papers  Trade press articles  Technical conference proceedings  Product literature  Company profile and financial information  Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast market studies  Personal knowledge of the research team. In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of the regional markets for light emitting diode products, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified. Cross-Correlation Increases Accuracy The quantities of packaged LEDs, LED Driver ICs, LED materials/wafer/die/chips, LED Lamps and LED fixtures (luminaire) and other LED-based components, manufacturing processes/quality control/yields, and end-use products used in a particular application are interrelated. Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates in each LED component field, accurate current quantity estimates are part of the corporate database. These quantities are cross-correlated as a "sanity check". ElectroniCast has conducted extensive research and updated their forecasts of several LED lighting categories. As technology and applications have advanced, the number of component subsets covered by the forecasts has expanded impressively. The calculation and analysis data spreadsheet technique is based upon input/output analysis, leveraging the quantitative consumption quantity, price and value of each item in each application at all levels to achieve reasonable quantitative conclusions; this interactive analysis concept, first applied on a major scale by Leonteff, of the US Department of Commerce, in the mid-1950s, was then adopted successfully by analyst/forecasting firms Quantum Science, Gnostic Concepts and (in 1981) by ElectroniCast. Nature of the Data This report provides the consumption value, quantity and prices of SSL-based modules/devices, which are used in various settings (end-user locations – applications) - worldwide. The following details are important in interpreting the data presented in the study results/report: • Significant figures - rounding: The data have been rounded to an appropriate number of decimal places. In some instances, this may result in minor apparent inconsistencies at summary levels. • Current dollars: All values in the Market Analysis and Forecast are expressed in current US dollars. Therefore, growth rates and forecasted values include inflation, forecasted to average 5 percent per year. The quantitative forecasts and value calculations for the SSL (currently LEDs, but eventually OLEDs may play a role) lighting modules/devices, as well as studying average selling price market data and trends. Global Market Forecast proceeded as follows: 1) The values for each year were based on known raw data or calculated by formulae at the lowest data entry levels. The resulting values were summed by formulae to successively higher levels data. 2) With the value forecasted for each track module/device used for HCL applications, average annual growth rates for 2018-2023 and 2023-2028 were then calculated from the forecasted data. 3) For each module/device category, analysis was performed and breakdowns were forecasted for (geographical) regional consumption percentages for each year of the forecast. Consumption Value: The consumption value of Human Centric Lighting (HCL) modules/devices is determined by the final application (“end-use”) and ownership of that product. For example, a standalone LED Driver is produced in Europe and is then shipped to the United States and then used in the United States, will be shown in the database as a LED Lamp consumed (used) in the U.S.A. (not Europe). Inventory Change The change in the monetary value of the inventory between two different accounting periods. The forecasting models predict this change rather than the absolute magnitudes of the inventory levels. Normally, this is the most volatile of all of the adjustments, and has several components: parts, work-in-process, finished goods, pipeline, and imported subassembly. R&D (Research and Development) Noncapitalized labor, which is used for research, design engineering, manufacturing development, and start-up, costs of new production lines. It does not include capital equipment and associated setup costs, marketing support, or normal production support. It does include expense incurred while prototyping and developing a new process or production line. Forecast Lighting Demand Growth Based on primary research (interviews and evaluations) with engineers and product planners, ElectroniCast can see ideas and then (eventually) concepts about 3-7 years before innovation solutions (products) are announced in the public domain. Once we feel confident that these ideas and concepts will become innovative solutions (new products), we set anticipated usage into the market forecast. Therefore, as we are looking as several years, many of the future products may not even be at the idea-stage yet. It is also important to note that ElectroniCast, in effect, forecast lighting demand growth, which will drive demand for increased capability/capacity SSL-based (solid-state lighting) components, modules/devices, fixtures (luminaire), and systems; therefore, we have expertise of what to look for. Yes, the forecast will most likely change over the 10-year forecast period, as “sure-bet” products “flop” and innovation solutions enter the arena. ElectroniCast analysts have extensive experience at searching for and finding-out about these ideas-concepts-innovations and evaluating them. Bottom-up Methodology ElectroniCast forecasts, as illustrated in the forecast data structure, are developed initially at the lowest detail level, then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the estimated quantity of each HCL module/device of product used in the base year (2018), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward equipment usage and economic payback. ...

2021-02-10

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