We announced the release of an update and application expansion to their annual market study and forecast of the use of packaged light emitting diodes (LEDs) used in test/measurement, medical and other science devices.
Last year (2018), the global consumption value of packaged LED chips in the selected devices reached $476 million, up from $426 million versus the previous year (an increase of 11.7 percent). The value is forecasted to continue to increase in all product categories, with strong to moderate quantity growth, partially offset by a decline of average prices, especially during the 2018-2023 timeframe. Market forecast data refers to LED consumption for a particular calendar year; therefore, this data is not cumulative data.
The market data for are also segmented by the following colors (type): Red, Green, Blue, White, Multiple Color/Multiple Chip, and UV and others.
According to the study, the worldwide value of UV-LED packaged chips used specifically for test/measurement, medical and other science applications is forecast to reach over $360 million in 2028. “Many devices, which have traditionally used mercury (Hg)-vapor Ultraviolet (UV) lamps are now utilizing LEDs, capable of producing UV radiation,” said Stephen Montgomery, president of the California-based consultancy.
This LED market study is also segmented into the following major application categories:
• Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring
• Photo-therapy/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing
• Instrumentation Light Source and Imaging
Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring applications, in 2018, represented 33.7 percent of the worldwide consumption value of packaged LED chips in the selected test/measurement and medical/science devices. The relative market share of LEDs used in the Sensing/Detection and Analytical/ Monitoring applications is forecast to increase to 37.5 percent in value in 2028.
Also, covered in the study are the use of LEDs in horticulture, sterilization of surface areas, air and water, medical, health & beauty Photodynamic Therapy (PDT), as well as medical/science curing, and several other uses. LEDs used in Instrumentation Light Sources and Imaging devices are forecast to increase in value by a multiple factor of nearly 4x over the next decade.
This year (2019), the America region is projected to hold a 34.5% share of worldwide quantity of packaged LEDs in selected test/measurement and medical/science devices. The Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) region is forecast for aggressive growth. “This year, the Asia Pacific region (APAC) is forecast to hold a slight lead in relative volume market share,” Montgomery added.
1. Executive Summary 1-1
1.1 Overview 1-1
1.2 Bare (Unpackaged) LED Chips – Overview 1-11
1.3 LEDs – Technology Overview 1-28
1.4 Barriers to Growth in the Military/Government Sector 1-39
2. LEDs Used in Test/Measurement & Medical Science Devices Market Forecast 2-1
2.1 Overview 2-1
2.2 Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring 2-8 3-
2.3 Photo-therapy/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing 2-90
2.4 Instrumentation Light Source and Imaging 2-184
3. ElectroniCast Market Research Methodology 3-1
4. Market Forecast Data Base - Introduction 4-1
4.1 Overview 4-1
4.2 Tutorial 4-3
Addendum –
• Microsoft Excel - Data Base Spreadsheets (Global Market Forecast); Detailed Data:
o Average Selling Price, per unit ($, each)
o Quantity (Million)
o Value ($, Million)
Chapter 1.2
Nitride Semiconductors Company Limited
Institute of Semiconductors, Chinese Academy of Sciences (China)
Nichia Corporation
Samsung / Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd
Murata
Tecco Group Ltd
ProPhotonix
Luminus Devices, Incorporated
Electronics Maker (Magazine)
Shine Technologies Ltd – Shine ®
LED News
Cree, Incorporated
Chapter 1.3
OKSolar.com
LEDtronics, Incorporated
Chapter 1.4
DARPA (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency)
ANAB (ANSI National Accreditation Board)
International Aerospace Quality Group (IAQG)
Americas Aerospace Quality Group (AAQG)
Defense Contract Audit Agency - (DCAA)
DOD (Defense Department-United States)
Department of State (United States)
Department of Commerce (United States)
Treasury Department (United States)
Department of Justice (United States)
Department of Commerce (United States)
Department of Energy (United States)
Department of Homeland Security (United States)
Census Bureau (United States)
Chapter 2.2
Royal Society of Chemistry
Thermo Fisher Scientific
Azure Biosystems, Inc.
SCHOTT AG Lighting and Imaging
US National Library of Medicine National Institutes of Health
HercepTest™ (an Agilent Technologies Company)
Food and Drug Administration (FDA) – United States
American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO)
Joint Commission of Healthcare Organizations
CE label (Consumer electronics or Council of the European Union)
Skyla (LITE-ON Technology Corporation)
Polish Academy of Sciences, Institute of Low Temperatures and Structural Research
Chapter 2.2 - Continued
Wroclaw University of Technology, Group of Chemical and Biochemical Processes
Queensland Micro- and Nanotechnology Centre & School of Engineering, Griffith University
Key Laboratory of Marine Chemistry Theory and Technology-Ocean University of China
CSIRO Materials Science and Engineering
Osram Opto Semiconductors
Sensors and Actuators B: Chemical
Laboratory for Gas Sensors, Department of Microsystems Engineering, University of Freiburg, Germany
Fraunhofer Institute for Physical Measurement Techniques (IPM), Freiburg, Germany
LeddarTech Inc. (Leddar™)
Integrated Device Technology, Inc. (IDT)
University of Central Florida
Fuels, Engines and Emissions Research Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Faculty of Electrical Engineering, University of Montenegro
School of Engineering and Built Environment, Glasgow Caledonian University
Hikari Tec/Miura-ori Lab.
Ritsumeikan University, Faculty of Engineering Science
Ritsumeikan University, Global Innovation Research Organization
Tokyo Metropolitan Industrial Technology Research Institute
HexaTech
One Hour Heating & Air Conditioning
Dublin City University (DCU)
Edgewood Chemical and Biological Center (ECBC)
U.S. Army Research Laboratory (ARL)
DARPA (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency)
Centre for Optical and Electromagnetic Research - JORCEP China
Philips (China) Investment Co., Ltd.
National Instruments Corporation
Goddard Space Flight Center (NASA)
FISO Technologies Inc.
Optrand Incorporated
Ocean Optics, Incorporated
Bio-optics and Fiber Optics Laboratory, Institute of Atomic Physics and Spectroscopy, University of Latvia
NASA - Johnson Space Center
Atom
Datascope
GE Medical
Medtronic
Philips
Spacelabs
ZollSyngene (A Division of Synoptics Ltd)
Masimo Corporation
Department of Analytical Chemistry Faculty of Sciences, Campus Fuentenuev, University of Granada
CLARITY: Centre for Sensor Web Technologies
National Centre for Sensor Research, Dublin
Department of Chemistry, Biotechnology, and Chemical Engineering - Kagoshima University
China Agricultural University
Department of Electro-Optical Engineering, National Taipei University of Technology
Department of Chemistry, University of Warsaw
Department of Chemistry, University of the Balearic Islands
University of Chicago
Institute of Microelectronics - Singapore
Chapter 2.2 - Continued
NASA - Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL)
Applied and Plasma Group, School of Physics, University of Sydney, NSW, Australia
Clemson University
National Science Foundation (United States)
SRU Biosystems
University of Illinois - Center for Microanalysis of Materials
US Department of Energy
Marshall Space Flight Center, Alabama
Greatbatch Ltd (Biophan) Technologies Inc
Imperial College London
Karlstad University
College of Chemistry and College of Chemical Engineering, Sichuan University, PR China
HyperQuan, Inc.
Analog Devices Inc (ADI)
Chrontel, Inc.
Redmere Technology Ltd.
University of Warsaw, Department of Chemistry
Department of Chemistry, National University of Singapore
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Dalian Institute of Chemical Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Department of Applied Chemistry, Graduate School of Engineering, Tokyo Metropolitan University
Department of Physics, Harbin Institute of Technology, Science and Technology Park, Harbin, China
Department of Chemistry, National Taiwan Normal University
LED Medical Diagnostics Inc.
McGill University in Montreal, Canada
Oral Cancer Foundation
LED Medical Diagnostics Inc.
UCLA Henry Samueli School of Engineering and Applied Science
U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (National Center for PTSD)
University of Texas at Arlington
Ultradent Products Inc.
Excelitas Technologies Corporation
allnex group
Nikkiso Giken Co., Ltd.
AP Technologies Ltd
Sensor Electronic Technology, inc. (SETi)
LG Innotek
Bavarian Ministry for Economic Affairs, Media, Energy and Technology
Osram Opto Semiconductors
aprotec GmbH
SCHOTT AG in Landshut
University of Minnesota's Lillehei Heart Institute
University of Bristol (Aquatest Research Program); Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
World Health Organization
Garrett Corporation, Air Research Division
Carefree Clearwater, Ltd
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Plaza Hotel in Auckland
Wallops Flight Facility
Aquionics - Halma Holdings, Inc
Asahi Kasei Group (Crystal IS)
Chapter 2.2 - Continued
Microdermabrasion Machines
Angel Kiss - Amazon.com
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology - Tel-Aviv University
Krupa Electro Device
Microdermabrasion Machines
Virtual Beauty Corporation
United States Navy Sea, Air, and Land Teams (Navy SEALs)
US National Library of Medicine
National Institute of Mental Health
Lighting Science (Rhode Island, USA)
Infineon Technologies AG
Mount Sinai Hospital
National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences (NCATS) - (US) National Institutes of Health (NIH)
Commission for Occupational Health and Safety and Standardization (KAN) – Germany
Delos Living LLC
International WELL Building Institute (IWBI)
Green Business Certification Inc. (GBCI) - Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) program
Lumenia – Slovenija
SRAM Innovation
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) – USA
OSRAM Innovation
University of Twente VU - Amsterdam
CBRE Group Inc.
National Institute of General Medical Sciences (USA)
Regiolux GmbH
Lighting Research Center (LRC)
Alphabet Lighting, Inc.
Smile Brilliant Ventures, Inc.
U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)
Medical College of Wisconsin
Naval Special Warfare Command, Submarine Squadron ELEVEN - USS Salt Lake City
Quantum Devices, Inc (QDI)
Wisconsin Center for Space Automation and Robotics (WCSAR) - University of Wisconsin-Madison (NASA)
Medical College of Wisconsin
Roswell Park Cancer Institute in Buffalo, New York
Rush-Presbyterian-St. Lukes Medical Center in Chicago
Instituto de Oncologia Pediatrica in Sao Paulo, Brazil
Instituto de Física de São Carlos, Universidade de São Paulo, São Carlos, SP, Brazil
Mayo Clinic
Light4Tech
University of Minnesota - Lillehei Heart Institute
Boston VA – (US) Army's Advanced Medical Technology Initiative
LumiThera Inc.
National Institute of Health (NIH) - National Eye Institute (NEI)
U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs
Army Research Institute of Environmental Medicine
Boston University School of Medicine (BUSM)
Photomedex
Vielight
MedX Health
Ivoclar Vivadent AG
Chapter 2.2 - Continued
Carl Zeiss MicroImaging Inc
Radiant Vision Systems, LLC
CoolLED (UK)
Photon Systems Instruments
Haag-Streit USA
Qubit Systems Incorporated
Titan Tool Supply Inc.
Omicron
Opticology, Inc.
Stanford University
Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST)
International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC)
Surgiris
STERIS plc.
Striker
S.I.M.E.O.N. Medical GmbH & Co. KG
Medical Illumination International
Burton Medical LLC (Philips Burton)
Cool View (Hawkeye Distributing, LLC)
Division of Electron Microscopic Research, Korea Basic Science Institute
Firefly Institute, Culture and Tourism Division (Korea)
Division of Physical Metrology, Korea Research Institute of Standards and Science (Korea)
Department of Bio and Brain Engineering and KAIST Institute for Optical Science and Technology (Korea)
Nagoya University (Japan)
World Health Organization (WHO)
Primary Research: This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually over the past several years, but updated through the end of March 2019. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and selected representative individuals in the following sectors relative to the use of LEDs: medical, science, bio-photonic, display industry, test/measurement, instrumentation, R&D, university, military defense/space and government. The interviews were conducted principally with:
• Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of LED test/measurement & medical science equipment/devices and related equipment, as well as other technologies
• Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of LEDs and test/measurement & medical and other science equipment/devices
• Other industry experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, and investments.
The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics.
Analysis The analyst then considered customer expectations of near term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations in each geographical region, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application.
Secondary Research A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through our interviews. The following sources were reviewed:
• Professional technical journals, papers and conference proceedings
• Trade press articles
• Company profile and financial information; Product literature
• Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast market studies
• Personal knowledge of the research team
In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of geographical regional markets, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified.
Bottom-up Methodology ElectroniCast forecasts, as illustrated in the forecast data structure, are developed initially at the lowest detail level, then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (last year = 2017), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends applicable products/applications and equipment usage and economic payback.
Cross-Correlation Increases Accuracy The quantities of packaged LEDs, LED Driver ICs, LED materials/wafer/die/chips, LED Lamps and LED fixtures (luminaries) and other LED-based components, manufacturing processes/quality control/yields, and end-use products used in a particular application are interrelated. Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates in each LED component field, accurate current quantity estimates are part of the corporate database. These quantities are cross-correlated as a "sanity check".
ElectroniCast, each year since 2002, has conducted extensive research and updated their forecasts of several LED lighting categories. As technology and applications have advanced, the number of component subsets covered by the forecasts has expanded impressively.
The calculation and analysis data spreadsheet technique is based upon input/output analysis, leveraging the quantitative consumption quantity, price and value of each item in each application at all levels to achieve reasonable quantitative conclusions; this interactive analysis concept, first applied on a major scale by Leonteff, of the US Department of Commerce, in the mid 1950s, was then adopted successfully by analyst/forecasting firms Quantum Science, Gnostic Concepts and (in 1981) by ElectroniCast
